Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da4c6ed3f4d727e025fa489c94d14dfde143c13b40de4d564dd16030b7488ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 50,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 47c | 20,025$9,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,613.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 4,052$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.28 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 3,252$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 2,093$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.74 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 1,941$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.46 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 1,889$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.7 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,411$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.71 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 32c | 980$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 886.79$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 55c | 867.27$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 30c | 799.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 30c | 667.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 62c | 584.32$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 486.05$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 32c | 435.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 29c | 420.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 75c | 396.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 370.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 36c | 345.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 341.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 30c | 336.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed No | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…3060backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 27c | 307.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 34c | 295.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 38c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…bb1ebacked Yes | 55c | 241.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 67c | 231.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 31c | 231$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 210.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…0354backed Yes | 65c | 209.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…02afbacked Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 55c | 175.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 59c | 170.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 28c | 167.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 68c | 155.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 31c | 144.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 31c | 135$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 32c | 122$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 33c | 110.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 29c | 106.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 68c | 103.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…8ac9backed Yes | 55c | 98.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 97.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 39c | 94.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 31c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 86.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 69c | 86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 30c | 76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 31c | 72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…1882backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…3641backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 30c | 67.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 30c | 63.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 63.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…e5a5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 69c | 61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…dc60backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 30c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…ac3fbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.45per pick | 63cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…6396backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…3bd9backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 67c | 37.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…5643backed Yes | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…e4a0backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.