TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd28…2aef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
597
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT31430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 314 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+792.9%+$88.78
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.02
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$282.64
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$187.5
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$181.42
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$96.59
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$163.16
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$530.55
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+467.4%+$2,100.17
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+146%+$243.57
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$184.44
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+373.6%+$503.46
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$219
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66.74
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+420.8%+$807.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.9%+$32.75
Showing 25 of 314 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4930.6%15 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.68
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+495.5%+$96.58
Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.1
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.75
Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+669.2%+$348
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.72
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will NEC vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.08
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$325.03
Will AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+427.4%+$176.53
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$139.24
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.82
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+470.7%+$907.34
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$632.35
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.59
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.79
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.6
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.12
Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.42
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$126.98
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76.05
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,356.91
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+1,041.9%+$2,365.74
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+281%+$211.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.35
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$297.78
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+726.3%+$1,294.18
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$32.3
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+177.9%+$226.41
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+197.8%+$134.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.94
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$92.48
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$348.38
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+226.2%+$1,367.45
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$102.07
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$107.28
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+214.4%+$408.92
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+80.4%+$114.61
Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+102.1%+$70.06
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$207.09
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$68.56
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+90%+$71.04
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.9
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.9%+$85.43
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40.58
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$110.63
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$191.32
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$194.17
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$110.42
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+140.9%+$108.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$813.55
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.01
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+169%+$48.49
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+277%+$192.5
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$122.81
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$84.88
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$182.5
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$106.07
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$175.64
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.1
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$811.09
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27.67
Will OGC Nice vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$91.87
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35.96
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$95.63
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$110.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$202.93
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$57.19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.46
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.93
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33.94
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$177.75
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.75
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+226%+$5,005.46
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+537.9%+$3,672.17
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,375.75
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.66
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+363.4%+$1,569.2
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+63%+$17.8
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$34.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.87
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+681.3%+$88.09
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.72
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$157.64
Will JA21 win 9–10 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+144.9%+$288.91
Will JA21 win 11–12 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$47.34
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$316.57
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$208.29
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$379.23
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$286.04
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.39
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.27
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$831.68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.49
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.62
Will Brian Armstrong say "Prediction Market" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70.67
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$94.24
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$98.81
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$536.78
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$141.01
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$317
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$209.61
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+389%+$556.85
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$70.08
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.61
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$176.02
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.14
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+733.3%+$116.75
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$224.99
Will another country win Eurovision 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$199.97
Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.95
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+80%+$480.2
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.1%+$3.1
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$68.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+143.9%+$33.04
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+73.6%+$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$41.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter vs. Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.