TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Yes54c29,601$15,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,616.381861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No46c25,000$11,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,493.928944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c22,385$9,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,82821560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes62c16,039$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,042.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No39c12,669$4,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…66b9backed Yes45c11,751$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,515.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1402433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No41c8,450$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.493351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No42c8,154$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.052832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No44c6,905$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.1710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No22c5,311$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.413148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No39c5,004$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.131850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85014452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Yes61c4,098$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No44c4,000$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No40c3,994$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.728242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c3,946$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.051,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c3,526$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.5324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes53c3,353$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.94825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes40c2,799$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No43c2,628$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No46c2,500$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No44c2,442$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e3…c80fbacked No46c2,272$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c2,178$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.4612050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes56c1,883$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.8813050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes56c1,799$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b2…b589backed Yes54c1,684$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.44266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes58c1,391$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.954645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No25c1,334$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No45c1,140$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5523151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c1,093$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.899140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes57c1,050$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.59051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes77c999.66$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.921216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes56c955.36$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes55c954.84$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.681163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c948.21$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.022920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c888$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes48c884.85$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.125729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes57c814.43$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes56c800.04$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes57c787$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.043828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes50c734.88$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.792650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c686.49$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.446743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes59c673.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee3c…9708backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c605$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked No46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes22c545.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.829458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes42c481.12$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.121735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c277backed Yes58c479.43$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed Yes55c471.34$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes63c470.49$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No52c430.51$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2112343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No35c405.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.694348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1845060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes55c380$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No42c362.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.353562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes55c350.47$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.998447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes61c323.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.413852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes57c276.55$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes46c271.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.623740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a6…8924backed Yes57c262.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes54c259.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c253.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes79c253.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.571376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…53a7backed Yes47c241.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Yes28c232.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4943…dd33backed Yes25c223$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No38c222$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.364131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04fc…0e31backed Yes54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes46c213.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+98.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes55c206$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.79156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c61…64e1backed Yes48c200.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes56c198.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.