TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a23…fd22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$48.46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$106.64
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$58.58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT7648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$893.55
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,189.63
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.19
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.02
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,354.24
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,350.72
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.55
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.84
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$487.2
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,999.99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$792
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$3,737.8
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$468
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$561
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$639.99
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.85
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+388.7%+$5,148
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32%+$273.74
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$626.5
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,203.84
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150.04
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$577.8
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$593.6
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$335.5
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$650
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$405
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$94.38
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.38
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.1
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.97
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+89.5%+$137.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$519.48
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$972
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,212.2
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$429
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177%+$1,917
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$5,261.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.