Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a2b2a1b9227e44fc464614e63dfca6d4082310291c35623c3d34b70aa53693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,387,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,439,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,387,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa136…97debacked Yes | 47c | 6,757,546$3,164,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164,694.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 47c | 868,763$404,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464,289.21 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 57c | 703,920$401,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302,299.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 56c | 570,969$320,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,837.01 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 441,250$231,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,407.92 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 57c | 436,665$248,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,765.95 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 57c | 329,226$187,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,567.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 57c | 321,796$184,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,892.49 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 296,891$151,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,040.5 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 57c | 230,000$131,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,899.81 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 57c | 228,750$130,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,382.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 57c | 187,202$106,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,494.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 38c | 184,043$69,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,968.73 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 38c | 183,236$70,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,297.26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 57c | 167,310$95,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,943.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 57c | 155,317$88,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,786.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 39c | 140,311$54,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,518.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 48c | 132,784$63,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,840.28 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 57c | 125,318$71,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,886.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 57c | 122,673$70,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,261.21 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 55c | 113,404$62,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,485.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 57c | 105,000$59,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,150 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed No | 60c | 99,972$59,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,172.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 57c | 91,645$52,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,422.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 84,388$34,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,800.62 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 35c | 70,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 69,567$23,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,893.58 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 59c | 68,625$40,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,849.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 65,761$37,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,216.62 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Yes | 1c | 62,703$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 57c | 60,934$34,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,201.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 35c | 59,000$20,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,350 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Yes | 40c | 47,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 57c | 45,155$25,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,416.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Yes | 42c | 44,854$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 57c | 43,333$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,633.19 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…9a42backed Yes | 40c | 42,282$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 57c | 41,769$23,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,960.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 57c | 39,188$22,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,807.75 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 57c | 38,415$21,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,518.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 41c | 38,000$15,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,580 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 35,686$18,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,183.03 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 69c | 34,018$23,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,462.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 33,069$15,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,428.95 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 31,419$18,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,251.29 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 65c | 31,159$20,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,253.05 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed No | 57c | 30,314$17,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,031.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Yes | 38c | 30,280$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 52c | 28,255$14,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,472.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 26,505$15,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,797.75 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 26,082$13,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,085.5 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 54c | 25,650$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,754 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…5432backed No | 58c | 25,015$14,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,506.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed No | 58c | 23,938$13,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,053.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 23,271$13,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,792.23 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 41c | 23,016$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 40c | 22,500$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 59c | 22,149$12,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 59c | 22,101$12,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,132.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 57c | 20,860$11,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,969.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 57c | 18,888$10,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.84 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 57c | 18,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed No | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 57c | 17,850$10,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,675.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 57c | 17,732$10,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 59c | 17,500$10,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.98 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 59c | 17,456$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,146.06 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 57c | 16,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 40c | 15,927$6,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,598.45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 73c | 15,733$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.1 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 60c | 15,611$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 59c | 15,000$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 59c | 15,000$8,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 57c | 14,772$8,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,351.91 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked No | 35c | 14,286$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,285.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 59c | 14,210$8,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 57c | 14,145$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 58c | 13,567$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.36 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 59c | 13,000$7,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 57c | 12,870$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 38c | 11,805$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 11,700$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 61c | 11,300$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed No | 58c | 11,200$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 57c | 9,954$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 37c | 9,777$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.