TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf344…9a04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$6,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,720
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,805.78
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10,701.25
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,303.48
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,744.88
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,999.3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10,478.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$5,375.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,113.96
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11,287.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,053.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,344.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18,390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$19,990.09
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10,634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19,749.26
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14,527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7,483.46
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8,619.51
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34,496.95
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11,336.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,738.22
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,256.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,550.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,093.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,951.24
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10,086.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,865.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$5,782.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,348.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+63.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,937Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11,205.27
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$14,931.59
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13,862.69
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9,409.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7,581.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,737.39
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,816
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$9,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,926.19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$20,124
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,059Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$17,881.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,939.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,609.13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,231.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,717.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97,991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27,638.41
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,720.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$508.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10,560
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+235%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,920
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$5,345.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,195.78
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,799.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,435.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.