TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,959,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,146,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,959,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes39c3,602,903$1,397,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397,637.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No61c1,328,304$814,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513,699.4213353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No61c287,133$175,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,981.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No61c217,909$132,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,984.5210455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No61c210,000$128,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,40011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No61c200,000$122,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,00018758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No61c200,000$122,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,0001650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No61c199,573$122,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,361.5612847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No61c153,836$93,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,996.079141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No61c142,669$87,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,641.031947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes40c116,446$46,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,123.5119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c113,555$76,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,444.386,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c111,459$68,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,320.712,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No61c58,765$36,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,651.855050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c56,937$33,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,150.461,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No61c56,137$34,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,82618253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No61c52,440$31,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,451.592560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No61c52,000$31,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,2807653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No63c47,619$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,619.055352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No61c43,739$26,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,058.241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No62c39,780$24,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,116.42642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No60c38,182$23,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,122.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No74c35,552$26,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,140.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No63c33,737$21,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,520.021947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c32,652$22,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,261.3281234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes23c27,060$6,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,237.5727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No61c26,640$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,389.554052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No60c22,165$13,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,866.187448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4005145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.9314450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No61c19,914$12,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,855.3210765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No62c18,151$11,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,880.1116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes37c18,150$6,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,715.6713630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes41c17,892$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,30011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c17,594$13,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.114,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c16,706$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,705.7840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No61c15,600$9,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0841942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.989845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c14,849$10,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,420.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes40c14,380$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,752.0816651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No61c14,300$8,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5771172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89c5…57e9backed Yes28c14,069$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No62c13,733$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.0256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No66c13,227$8,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,452.067044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes26c11,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Yes35c11,242$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.452050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No63c11,190$7,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.149749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c11,105$6,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.4557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No63c10,934$6,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.775752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes35c10,011$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.0520140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No60c9,999$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes41c9,338$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.587448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes39c9,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.9910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No61c8,993$5,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes45c8,889$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9514975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes38c8,848$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.42626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.729350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No61c7,884$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.083145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes40c7,800$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes39c7,374$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.575038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No77c7,055$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.232277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No60c6,900$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7601471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Yes13c6,872$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.81875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No61c6,796$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.449061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c6,400$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes39c6,239$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.84825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No61c5,921$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.141662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No60c5,743$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c5,370$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.1190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c5,341$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.2384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.015242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9504100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7fba…7358backed Yes40c4,935$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38c…3687backed Yes40c4,892$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb09…baa1backed No61c4,867$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…c905backed No61c4,852$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No60c4,800$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No60c4,747$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.726261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No61c4,680$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No65c4,598$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.9810768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No61c4,515$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.7629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No63c4,444$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.445954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f31…1fcbbacked Yes40c4,439$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c4,418$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.081,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e06…dd7fbacked Yes40c4,406$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb33…c6cfbacked No61c4,380$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…fc15backed No61c4,376$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes41c4,146$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c4,140$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.114658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.994533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No61c3,976$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c3,800$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.071,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c3,730$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.1555351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c3,689$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.4653240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.