TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0df…69c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Music, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Music at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$105.68
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$1,486.18
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$5,020.73
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,438.11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+373.1%+$13,409.8
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.94
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$437.41
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,967.59
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$9,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,432.67
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,608.53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,770.29
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.14
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.41
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,408.93
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+241.5%+$8,874.68
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$449.48
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$172.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,174.3
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+303.9%+$32.71
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,216.91
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,098.65
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$4,104
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,628.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.52
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,169.13
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.03
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$97.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$6,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,187.28
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,567.86
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.29
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$1,524.69
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,815.33
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,751.37
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.65
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,291.43
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,609.52
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$250.48
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,999.57
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,132.21
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,984
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,999.9
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,381.69
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81%+$3,785.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,362.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,776.02
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.32
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$6,150
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,189.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,066.26
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.47
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,333.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.95
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.88
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.88
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,466.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$7,199.24
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+809.7%+$11,855.94
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+867.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+566.5%+$8,502.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,750
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.