Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21aec181289346e442ed645309c1dac44df93ab5f31786c5c339349379bcdb70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $770,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 38c | 409,505$155,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,391.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 62c | 108,400$67,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,191.95 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 81,723$52,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,664.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 62c | 70,000$43,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,599.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 38c | 60,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 62c | 58,667$36,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,293.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Yes | 38c | 50,000$19,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,099.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 62c | 42,797$26,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,263.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 63c | 42,404$26,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,853.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 31,945$19,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,137.49 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 20,385$12,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.26 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 18,814$12,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,705.42 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 63c | 17,845$11,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.63 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 62c | 15,905$9,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,043.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 14,679$9,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.49 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 63c | 12,487$7,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.93 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 36c | 11,691$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 8,037$4,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.26 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 7,509$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.24 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 6,725$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.44 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed No | 62c | 6,666$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 6,515$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.73 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 6,202$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.57 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 5,361$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.88 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 4,629$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.02 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked No | 64c | 4,166$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 3,326$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.75 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 3,269$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.61 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 18c | 3,251$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b69fbacked Yes | 24c | 3,087$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.97 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 2,911$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.05 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 62c | 2,650$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 40c | 2,520$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 37c | 2,118$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 61c | 2,035$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 2,012$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 41c | 2,005$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.69 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 64c | 1,868$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 62c | 1,834$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.91 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…affcbacked Yes | 35c | 1,752$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 63c | 1,666$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 1,550$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.99 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…def2backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 62c | 1,493$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 32c | 1,471$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…bbcabacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,331$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 1,299$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.6 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 32c | 1,227$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.31 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…12efbacked Yes | 34c | 1,171$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,120$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 82 | 17.1%14 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 62c | 1,088$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.44 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…b9c0backed Yes | 36c | 1,083$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 37c | 1,054$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 38c | 1,041$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Yes | 37c | 1,027$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 1,009$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 62c | 1,001$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 33c | 999.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 19c | 978.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 67c | 895.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 69c | 880$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 62c | 838.21$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 4c | 811.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 37c | 811.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 70c | 803.92$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 753.61$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.69 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 63c | 748.67$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…60d2backed Yes | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 733$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 60c | 703.38$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 37c | 702.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 659.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 649.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Yes | 33c | 634.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 37c | 610$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.