Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e3caf3017765c30abc54c544ce59f8461dab3f7ed8a26c47eb4ff2c0ac527c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 30c | 11,485$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 70c | 9,900$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 68c | 8,397$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.49 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 70c | 7,558$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 30c | 6,796$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 36c | 5,625$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 30c | 5,226$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 5,034$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.84 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 11c | 4,170$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…100abacked No | 71c | 4,155$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…c3adbacked Yes | 30c | 4,083$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 20c | 2,440$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 2,248$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 2,202$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.74 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,907$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 71c | 1,631$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 1,440$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 1,214$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 1,094$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,021$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 61c | 999.96$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 814.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 71c | 679.06$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 19c | 660.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 30c | 652.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 531.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 526.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…c47dbacked Yes | 40c | 525$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 20c | 519.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes | 30c | 513.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 70c | 493.8$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 421.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 20c | 399.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 32c | 314.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 297.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 289.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 269$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 30c | 256.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 247.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 53c | 240$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 80c | 237.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 237.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 209.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 40c | 190.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 16c | 188.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 21c | 187.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed No | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…635fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 30c | 154.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes | 43c | 151.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 22c | 143.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 29c | 139.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…82edbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 30c | 121.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 121.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 107.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 101.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 71c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.