TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff67…a1c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7560%45 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$32.58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$25.97
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.01
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.39
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.9
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.16
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
Will Aurora Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81%+$286.44
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.19
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.26
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.24
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.4%+$6,690.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,919.69
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.46
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.44
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.4
Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91%+$72.83
Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$218.1
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.29
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$159.89
Will Norway go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.17
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.71
Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$92.99
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.64
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$198.83
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$133.36
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76.87
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$96
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$115.98
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.99
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.23
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.25
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.61
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$22.14
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.02
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.34
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.66
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.91
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.12
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.2
Will CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$603
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,640.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,840
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$3,388.45
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.84
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$351
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+57.2%+$1,164.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$705.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$71.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+126.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,607.8%+$585.74
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,688.69
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.63
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.36
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.39
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.46
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.17
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.97
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$300.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.99
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$162.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$127.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+99%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.6%+$34.5
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.58
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+927.5%+$251.6
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.4%+$25.9
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$62.03
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$152.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.6
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+91.1%+$403.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$134.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.1%+$107.41
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+77%+$397.75
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+73.2%+$438.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Prince Andrew released by February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$213.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$161.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.