CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed76e3c271f4e24a3db2436cdf2c314cda43909fbc94c2bc34631a01cd67d3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,317,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,147,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,317,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed G2 | 35c | 806,259$278,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278,847.25 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Spirit | 65c | 292,846$189,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,209.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed G2 | 25c | 199,999$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.82 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spirit | 68c | 161,100$110,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,970.56 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed G2 | 47c | 150,166$70,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,082.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked G2 | 29c | 124,144$36,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,288.36 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 67c | 92,094$61,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,369.87 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 62c | 81,310$50,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,581.07 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 65c | 72,518$46,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,588.63 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed G2 | 56c | 71,892$39,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,994.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spirit | 69c | 70,966$48,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,214.66 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 49c | 69,135$33,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,367 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 51c | 66,192$33,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,364.32 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 26c | 64,681$16,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,572.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 46c | 56,882$26,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,398.52 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit | 76c | 54,100$41,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,983.96 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spirit | 44c | 50,728$22,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,534.81 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed G2 | 25c | 50,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked G2 | 38c | 47,149$18,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,139.18 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 48c | 44,928$21,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,513.53 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked G2 | 39c | 44,099$17,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,117.14 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed G2 | 24c | 41,954$10,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.33 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Spirit | 48c | 39,981$19,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,675.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 | 48c | 39,454$18,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,967.96 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed G2 | 25c | 38,817$9,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,702.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed G2 | 40c | 37,777$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.72 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit | 67c | 35,333$23,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.92 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 72c | 35,000$25,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked G2 | 25c | 35,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.91 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed G2 | 23c | 34,132$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850.44 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 58c | 33,437$19,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.55 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed G2 | 26c | 31,500$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Spirit | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed G2 | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 55c | 29,091$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,090.91 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 55c | 27,988$15,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,594.7 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Spirit | 68c | 27,758$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,757.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spirit | 52c | 27,284$14,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,023.26 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Spirit | 75c | 26,667$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Spirit | 58c | 25,367$14,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Spirit | 76c | 24,178$18,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 61c | 23,880$14,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,392.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Spirit | 54c | 23,773$12,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,856.31 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 56c | 23,750$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Spirit | 76c | 22,368$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,368.42 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Spirit | 76c | 22,337$16,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.88 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Spirit | 56c | 21,836$12,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,644.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Spirit | 52c | 21,500$11,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,405.39 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…683fbacked Spirit | 48c | 20,940$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,940.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 | 44c | 20,021$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.58 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked G2 | 26c | 19,999$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.7 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit | 43c | 19,703$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,203.43 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed G2 | 41c | 19,627$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.69 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed G2 | 44c | 19,504$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,581.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Spirit | 80c | 19,338$15,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.89 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked G2 | 36c | 19,001$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.12 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked G2 | 31c | 19,000$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.33 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…80cfbacked Spirit | 51c | 17,709$9,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,602.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed G2 | 44c | 17,700$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed G2 | 49c | 17,100$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.95 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Spirit | 69c | 17,000$11,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Spirit | 48c | 17,000$8,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,762.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit | 48c | 15,584$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.15 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…c0b1backed Spirit | 74c | 15,515$11,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked G2 | 25c | 15,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Spirit | 76c | 14,743$11,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit | 68c | 14,608$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.63 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 41c | 13,877$5,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.23 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked G2 | 46c | 13,355$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…c98fbacked Spirit | 74c | 13,344$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit | 76c | 13,064$9,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.32 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 68c | 12,909$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.53 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Spirit | 39c | 12,734$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,768.36 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Spirit | 55c | 12,532$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 | 37c | 12,279$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.72 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked G2 | 73c | 12,165$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.3 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked G2 | 49c | 12,163$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.89 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked G2 | 37c | 12,054$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.61 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed G2 | 26c | 12,000$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.16 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Spirit | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked G2 | 27c | 12,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 75c | 11,879$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.81 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Spirit | 68c | 11,838$8,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Spirit | 75c | 11,409$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Spirit | 57c | 11,340$6,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.08 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Spirit | 75c | 11,044$8,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked G2 | 47c | 10,994$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.96 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Spirit | 72c | 10,427$7,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit | 77c | 10,277$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.78 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…0645backed G2 | 31c | 10,250$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Spirit | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 55c | 10,000$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.5 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit | 59c | 10,000$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked G2 | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked G2 | 49c | 9,885$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spirit | 75c | 9,873$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.25 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed G2 | 48c | 9,848$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.29 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Spirit | 77c | 9,840$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.