TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18f0…3d5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.98
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$410.98
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.65
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.98
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,037Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+142%+$5,733.05
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,321.81
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,560.69
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,229.95
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+306.6%+$7,370.86
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$5,400.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,631.18
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+114%+$844.52
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,588.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$596.25
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,637.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.79
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$265.96
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.06
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$731.95
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT6622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,745.51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.67
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$926.22
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.26
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,258.47
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,165.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.29
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$12.65
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,251.86
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,504.56
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$38.26
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.43
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,428.12
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,278.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,478.39
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.79
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,682.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$1,630.98
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.56
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.92
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$335.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$4,913.09
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$43.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,731.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,771.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,226.61
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$247.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$1,893.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$20,675.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.02
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,833.83
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.55
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$542.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,630.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,853Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$3,459.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,278.49
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,713Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$7,263.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$44.62
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$148.5
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.25
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,079.25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.39
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,058.54
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42%+$827.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$998.56
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$437.07
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$2,128.79
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$558.68
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$134.41
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.18
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,072.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.89
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$458.61
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.13
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$3,557.2
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,759.99
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.64
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+200%+$2,200
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,026.52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,069.67
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,091.48
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$267.84
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.71
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$841.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$1,273.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,105.63
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$237.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+117.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$821.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$51.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,896.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.