CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45100239a2bf4d4221751c2e425eb383390c7da477f44f8a2ee435f2f268279a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 72c | 2,169$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked illwill | 70c | 892.69$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 818.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.07 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…1398backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 714.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed illwill | 71c | 614.63$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 13c | 533.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked illwill | 50c | 486.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 486.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 8c | 457.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 436$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 434.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 428.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 72c | 420.73$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 420.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed illwill | 63c | 385.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked illwill | 48c | 379.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 338.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed ex-RUBY | 18c | 333.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 317.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 287.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 16c | 284.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked illwill | 68c | 254.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed illwill | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed ex-RUBY | 10c | 244.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked ex-RUBY | 7c | 242.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 233$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…4d61backed ex-RUBY | 6c | 220.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +161%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 215.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked illwill | 80c | 197.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked illwill | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed illwill | 69c | 180.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed illwill | 59c | 179.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill | 63c | 171.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed ex-RUBY | 21c | 169$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed ex-RUBY | 11c | 157.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 30c | 153.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked illwill | 68c | 146.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked illwill | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ex-RUBY | 18c | 125.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked illwill | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 112.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 63c | 108.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…a45fbacked ex-RUBY | 14c | 106.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill | 70c | 100.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked illwill | 51c | 100.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…2379backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 100.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked illwill | 68c | 94.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed illwill | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…25cfbacked ex-RUBY | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 75.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 71.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 65.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 60.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 59.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed illwill | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 53.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked ex-RUBY | 22c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed illwill | 62c | 45.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 78c | 45.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed illwill | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed illwill | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed illwill | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed illwill | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…f4dcbacked illwill | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed illwill | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked illwill | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed illwill | 61c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed illwill | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed illwill | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked illwill | 77c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.