TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bce…2379

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$131.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$77.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.62
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$10.81
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$48.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$52.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.86
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.87
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$79.62
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.65
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dbacked Ghools Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.19
Valorant: FOKUS vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$10.28
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.11
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.