TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under49c18,583$9,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,484.2688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe0…1bb7backed Over51c9,836$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over51c5,715$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.6517643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over48c2,533$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.0717946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under50c2,117$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Over50c2,018$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.841844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c1,883$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.4917045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under50c1,554$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.995658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under50c1,267$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.441,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under50c1,203$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.712,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c1,126$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.2827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over51c855.75$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4321246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c842.53$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.41,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c728.28$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.52,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c708.76$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.392,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over51c669.86$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9394645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb221…c19dbacked Over51c669.84$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over51c589.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over46c402.29$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7314042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec23…8852backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19411844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over49c316.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0164046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over50c301.4$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c296$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9610053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c5…7b85backed Over51c238.63$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb38…b7c7backed Over51c226.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.444233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e7…73e4backed Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Over52c211.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.968855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10138157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…6937backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over51c194.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over51c178.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.982955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under50c169.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.937152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over51c147.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under49c142.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.511742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705149%25 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.228042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…2cfbbacked Over51c104.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3914453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over50c101.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7614344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed Under51c101.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7319947.2%94 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Under51c98.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8217456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf66…3422backed Over50c98.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over51c97.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.827149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45c…2ae5backed Over51c96.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.132568%17 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c94.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under64c91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under50c88.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.350051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over34c85.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0368659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over51c78.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce37…9d90backed Over49c73.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.356454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over49c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e9…8662backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012652.4%66 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under66c51.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under56c50.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0633156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.58441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4114953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…2379backed Over51c48.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…ebd3backed Over52c44.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5577…988cbacked Over51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Over44c43.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.956543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under50c42.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4622049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over48c41.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b39…daa9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd41c…e7b9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Over50c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.