CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b61ef02d5e271be87e0a2d4f6e1e440779a43db90a3df057cc1e8202b98e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 421.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 332.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 49c | 296$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 50c | 291.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…a330backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 164.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…70bbbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Over | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 46c | 41.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.