TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe68a…5a2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$43.7
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+330.1%+$49.89
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.5
Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.89
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$67.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$82.76
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$91.13
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$77.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$96.36
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48.2
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$52.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$48.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester United vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$64.7
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Girona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.