Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52d39de10277f2fba567aa62cd4f76eadaf1c0095a968b02d0c6758010d91dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 35,000$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 24,867$15,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,417.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 8,232$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.26 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,408$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,299$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 1,116$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.28 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed No | 68c | 441.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 24c | 360$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 238.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 38c | 207.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 50c | 198.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 31c | 106.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 48c | 102.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked No | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…d658backed Yes | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 36c | 96.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 64c | 66.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 26c | 65.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…e7d3backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 36c | 38.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 33.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…bab3backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed No | 64c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.