TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b9…6654

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30.97
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+185.7%+$45.31
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.56
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.1
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Catawba Indians vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Catawba Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.