Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4984bc2a7429c73f91aca3c5f9b47d1753ccb3f2fe7111963fe497d3f389d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 42c | 6,213$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 59c | 5,846$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.87 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 47c | 1,844$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.51 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,620$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 51c | 1,243$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 56c | 892.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 785$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 739.37$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 51c | 520.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 470.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 52c | 412.47$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…6785backed Yes | 58c | 290.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 36c | 247.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 50c | 200.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 44c | 140.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 124.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 77.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…29c7backed Yes | 51c | 66.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…2ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 55c | 36.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 44c | 31.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 62c | 21.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…0231backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…ef82backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.