NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490747510eeb9ad930a8bd89d05fa0b53dacbfc9fe558f706df4ad3f8ecb14ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,714,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,714,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,026 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 21c | 455,554$95,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359,887.56 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 77c | 409,268$316,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,384.75 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 24c | 216,665$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,665.4 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Warriors | 24c | 188,980$44,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,218.61 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 77c | 172,267$132,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,071.38 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 22c | 165,000$36,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,700 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 77c | 103,146$79,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,426.52 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rockets | 79c | 100,000$79,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,000 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 24c | 86,714$20,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,902.28 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 21c | 78,888$16,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,321.28 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 76c | 63,723$48,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,509.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets | 78c | 49,991$38,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,992.86 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Rockets | 76c | 45,863$34,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,856.04 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 52c | 44,853$23,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,309.84 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets | 79c | 43,946$34,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,717.12 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 22c | 42,587$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,047.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 63c | 42,470$26,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,652.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Rockets | 79c | 37,975$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Warriors | 21c | 37,793$7,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,007.2 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 24c | 35,250$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,789.68 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 41c | 35,237$14,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,885.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Rockets | 77c | 34,914$26,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,883.89 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Rockets | 77c | 29,862$22,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,993.63 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 73c | 25,365$18,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,544.85 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 23c | 23,612$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,074.51 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets | 75c | 23,300$17,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,425.46 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Warriors | 39c | 22,766$8,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,838.38 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 24c | 22,032$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,852.44 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Rockets | 67c | 20,917$14,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,040 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets | 79c | 20,858$16,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,459.74 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Rockets | 78c | 20,520$15,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,931.23 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…0f24backed Rockets | 0c | 20,004$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Warriors | 34c | 19,954$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,212.45 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets | 76c | 19,666$14,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,946.16 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 41c | 17,124$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.72 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 65c | 15,980$10,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,355.32 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 56c | 15,745$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,861.8 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 64c | 15,359$9,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,772.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Rockets | 79c | 15,115$11,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,941 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Rockets | 77c | 15,080$11,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,657.81 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rockets | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 27c | 15,000$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 77c | 14,635$11,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,226.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 39c | 13,930$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.82 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Rockets | 70c | 12,895$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 53c | 12,007$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Rockets | 76c | 11,974$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Rockets | 43c | 11,916$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.17 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Warriors | 62c | 11,733$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.89 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 69c | 11,591$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.14 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Warriors | 21c | 11,335$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954.65 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 76c | 11,117$8,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Rockets | 76c | 11,111$8,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,444.36 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 36c | 10,978$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 22c | 10,813$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,434.14 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets | 30c | 10,432$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Warriors | 35c | 10,408$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.58 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Rockets | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…b81abacked Rockets | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Warriors | 38c | 9,721$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.81 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rockets | 79c | 9,707$7,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,702.59 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Warriors | 38c | 9,619$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.46 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 37c | 9,585$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.79 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 32c | 9,330$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.61 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rockets | 53c | 9,169$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.76 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 28c | 8,817$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.58 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 74c | 8,158$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets | 72c | 8,043$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.94 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 44c | 8,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 58c | 7,950$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.49 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rockets | 76c | 7,778$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.07 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets | 76c | 7,716$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.99 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 79c | 7,595$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Rockets | 76c | 7,490$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692.36 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 36c | 7,269$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.61 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 35c | 7,200$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Rockets | 80c | 7,179$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Rockets | 64c | 6,853$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.28 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Rockets | 45c | 6,577$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 76c | 6,526$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Rockets | 63c | 6,456$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.58 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Rockets | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Rockets | 65c | 6,245$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 29c | 6,218$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.06 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Rockets | 76c | 6,174$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.24 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Rockets | 65c | 6,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.97 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 79c | 5,909$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 36c | 5,821$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Warriors | 24c | 5,690$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.07 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…b2c0backed Rockets | 76c | 5,500$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Rockets | 54c | 5,489$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Warriors | 38c | 5,198$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.6 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Warriors | 52c | 5,134$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.65 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…2b9abacked Rockets | 79c | 5,106$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.32 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Rockets | 77c | 5,000$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.05 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Rockets | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Warriors | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Rocketsthis page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.