NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a71aeec6dcbeae0fbcaebfb278926fb3adf0384a9c5fdfdf8e7713d3c9e410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,320 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 3,163$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 57c | 1,887$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.06 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 33c | 1,884$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.76 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 1,862$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 68c | 1,766$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 1,234$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,212$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.52 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 634.07$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 399.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 47c | 360.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed Over | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 35c | 247.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 223.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 55c | 169$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 162.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 155.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 53c | 129.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 100.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 87.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 57c | 70.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 66c | 68.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 54c | 56.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 46c | 52.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…0568backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…d660backed Under | 45c | 38.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 61c | 36.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5f41backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Over | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 46c | 30.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Under | 48c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 56c | 30.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 46c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 54c | 27.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 45c | 22.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 69c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.