NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa66aa5992d3c8d86af64cf44827cc452bdd8f91ca927f231be73730a769bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,459 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 46c | 50,918$23,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,495.66 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 54c | 31,282$16,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,892.28 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 50c | 27,742$13,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Warriors | 50c | 25,402$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,702 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 46c | 18,810$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,157.37 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Rockets | 56c | 17,635$9,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,878 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Rockets | 52c | 7,689$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.38 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 54c | 7,547$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.38 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets | 53c | 7,547$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.1 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 46c | 6,717$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Warriors | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 47c | 3,012$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.29 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 2,916$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,779$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rockets | 54c | 2,176$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.04 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,974$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.65 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,848$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.44 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 55c | 1,638$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.9 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 69c | 1,506$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,433$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.65 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Rockets | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Rockets | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rockets | 39c | 1,118$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.41 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Warriors | 48c | 999.94$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 54c | 901.2$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 24c | 831.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 55c | 821.51$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.83 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Warriors | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Rockets | 52c | 777.14$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Warriors | 45c | 739$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Warriors | 46c | 726.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.09 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 48c | 668.17$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.29 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Warriors | 47c | 610$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 52c | 609.47$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Rockets | 51c | 455.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…854cbacked Rockets | 51c | 454.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…dae7backed Rockets | 52c | 437.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Rockets | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Rockets | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 53c | 378.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…5481backed Rockets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Rockets | 51c | 313.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rockets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 34c | 275.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 51c | 270.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 53c | 208.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…7d18backed Warriors | 50c | 207.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…f2c1backed Rockets | 51c | 207.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…2a66backed Rockets | 51c | 207.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…d8dfbacked Warriors | 50c | 207.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…bc26backed Warriors | 50c | 207.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…6012backed Rockets | 51c | 207.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…48febacked Rockets | 51c | 207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…9d64backed Warriors | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…37a5backed Warriors | 49c | 206.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…fa9cbacked Rockets | 51c | 206.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Warriors | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Warriors | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Rockets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Rockets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Rockets | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Rockets | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 53c | 149.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Warriors | 49c | 136$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Warriors | 46c | 133.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Rockets | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Rockets | 38c | 131.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Rockets | 53c | 113.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…6ba5backed Rockets | 54c | 105.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Rockets | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rockets | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Warriors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Warriors | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Rockets | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…0512backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Warriors | 46c | 97.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Rockets | 52c | 96.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Rockets | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.