TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd62d…5992

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT37852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 378 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$71.72
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.16
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108%+$20.93
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Showing 25 of 378 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$12.9
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$21.86
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+88.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$20.18
Unicaja vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Bilbao Basket vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+114.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.38
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.