Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1ec0a1121f924cf886c7a3d806d3aa12e3fbebd9941e9295e8a229ff806ed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 2,773$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.77 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,424$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.53 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 2,113$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.24 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,641$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,613$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,530$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 675.05$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 22c | 461$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 21c | 439$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 22c | 413$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 22c | 382$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Yes | 20c | 380$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 312.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 16c | 251.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 20c | 242.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 230.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 221.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 23c | 218.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 13c | 214.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 76c | 200.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 21c | 185$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 21c | 176.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 174.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 21c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 21c | 93.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 92.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 28c | 85.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 19c | 59.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 80c | 22.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.