TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe795…d019

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT8850%44 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$29.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$5.93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$6.33
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Wuxi: Alafia Ayeni vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Aguilarbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Set Handicap: Pliskova (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Hersonissos: Ioannis Xilas vs Maxim Mrvabacked Ioannis Xilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$31.04
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Thionville: Moise Kouame vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Giulio Zeppieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
BNP Paribas Open: Quentin Halys vs Adam Waltonbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Brasilia: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damasbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.05
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Kigali: Sandro Kopp vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.29
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Daniel Rinconbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Antalya 2: Guiomar Maristany vs Arantxa Rusbacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.67
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$52.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+64.3%+$9.78
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.6%+$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Will FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$155.69
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+141.4%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.