CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d8ed54212f7e42da96c05b871e515b2fefcad0c96dddf7fd8e9e61e4f7e385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd8…1f6bbacked Team Novaq | 41c | 2,068$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Novaq | 25c | 1,711$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…65a5backed Team Novaq | 43c | 1,615$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…911dbacked Team Novaq | 42c | 1,445$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…7f16backed Team Novaq | 43c | 1,442$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…2ce0backed Team Novaq | 44c | 1,417$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…e156backed Team Novaq | 44c | 1,202$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…ade1backed Acend | 59c | 1,167$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…f41cbacked Team Novaq | 43c | 1,103$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…4525backed Acend | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed Acend | 56c | 1,021$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…a353backed Acend | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…5a76backed Acend | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Acend | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Novaq | 45c | 961.1$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…93c6backed Team Novaq | 44c | 924$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…9fcebacked Acend | 59c | 901$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 73c | 789.45$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Team Novaq | 44c | 772$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…1cc8backed Team Novaq | 44c | 707$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…b20ebacked Team Novaq | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 13c | 673.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…b752backed Acend | 56c | 669$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…5c79backed Acend | 56c | 618$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…09cfbacked Acend | 57c | 615$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…c521backed Acend | 57c | 587$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…548dbacked Acend | 56c | 533$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…a119backed Acend | 57c | 516$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…4ad2backed Team Novaq | 44c | 483$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…f1f3backed Team Novaq | 44c | 461$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…e339backed Team Novaq | 44c | 458$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…2cd6backed Acend | 57c | 442$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Team Novaq | 45c | 440.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…71d8backed Acend | 58c | 428$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Acend | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…100abacked Acend | 56c | 396$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed Acend | 56c | 372$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…b768backed Acend | 56c | 363$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…bb91backed Acend | 56c | 363$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Novaq | 14c | 357.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…b1fbbacked Acend | 56c | 344$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…a7b9backed Acend | 56c | 337$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 10c | 328.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Team Novaq | 7c | 313.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Acend | 56c | 306$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Team Novaq | 9c | 304.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…cc21backed Acend | 56c | 283$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…7085backed Acend | 56c | 261$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…db16backed Acend | 56c | 258$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…5146backed Acend | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…d55dbacked Acend | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…67c6backed Acend | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Acend | 67c | 178.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Acend | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…c326backed Team Novaq | 32c | 155.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Acend | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Acend | 53c | 145.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Novaq | 42c | 137.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Novaq | 44c | 76.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Team Novaq | 45c | 67.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Novaq | 25c | 64.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Acend | 55c | 57.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…02b5backed Acend | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Novaq | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Team Novaq | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Acend | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Acend | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Acend | 56c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…b1dbbacked Acend | 70c | 20.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Acend | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Acend | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Novaq - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.