TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe56a…0edf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$20.93
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$35.55
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.25
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68.46
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$24.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.89
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.4%+$70.44
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-70.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$16.42
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.3%+$20.87
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$49.23
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.