TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked G257c8,743$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99532348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed paiN43c7,406$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.0441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked G258c5,928$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.0344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked paiN64c4,674$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.0822550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G250c4,481$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.291,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ae…a7b9backed G259c4,478$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G240c4,450$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked paiN42c3,286$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.9327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed paiN33c2,245$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.9843933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked paiN63c1,677$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.91,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed paiN64c1,550$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.4317240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed G268c1,537$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.345058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed G266c1,527$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN52c1,500$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked paiN32c1,402$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.1261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked G248c1,347$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6444555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN68c1,303$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed G231c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN46c1,219$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.112,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked G235c1,162$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G241c1,092$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.781,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked G244c1,004$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed G237c946.09$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.291,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G235c920.17$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.011,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN35c831.45$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4554732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G253c753.28$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN51c731.73$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed paiN38c714$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.685048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed G267c699.9$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6923861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G247c656.17$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.461,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed G265c617.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed paiN49c617.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3514532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed G246c610.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7611240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked paiN49c606.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4718049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN46c602.71$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.314,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed G222c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13231444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN38c531.18$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3352947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN54c515$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.375,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed G247c511.47$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.191850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed G229c510.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked paiN59c505$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5517042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed G260c503.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked G263c480.25$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3617850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G250c469.87$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G249c436.04$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.837,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed paiN74c410$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.65248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed paiN26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29612021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G247c393.1$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.815,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G244c378.15$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.872,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed G268c378$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed paiN62c375.81$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.814847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3721941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed paiN80c350.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed paiN60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14035848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed G217c350$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed G252c346.35$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed G272c333$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.769260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed paiN52c317.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.181,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked paiN52c316.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7818043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked G249c307.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb835…6fc9backed G251c303.14$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.24825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed G258c302.91$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed paiN43c281.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6225934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed paiN36c278.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked paiN76c275.94$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4813657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed paiN49c272$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.629244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed G265c270$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.023557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN52c268.49$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.673,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8abe…61debacked G237c266.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe36…d9a4backed G220c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44aa…e226backed paiN71c251.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN38c244$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2817148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked G272c234.75$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.376952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed G238c231.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1918342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked G251c196.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G254c194.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.572,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked G230c188.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.697428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked paiN46c174.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.892646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed paiN61c168.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.673754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4695…210abacked G260c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed paiN56c157.89$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4728254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed paiN64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b19…a980backed G258c156.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked G255c153.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9632548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked G233c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed G234c148.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.862,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3635…1afdbacked G253c145.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed G242c143.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5838844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked paiN61c127.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8723056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed paiN50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN50c117.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.382,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed G255c108.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed paiN31c100.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8223161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked paiN50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed G263c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked paiN50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.54835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed G247c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.521848.6%106 W · 112 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked G252c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5232352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.34,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.