TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd43…88d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
399
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 64 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT14532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$951.77
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$583.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.9
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$681.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$668.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$464
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$675.93
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+237.4%+$712.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+213.1%+$306.73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$816.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.63
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,595.68
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$780
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$757.43
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$448.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+337.4%+$961.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$431.88
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$637.5
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+136%+$475.91
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$368.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$494.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+216.9%+$542.13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$410.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$249
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+123.8%+$437.89
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.43
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.5
Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$298.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$373.56
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$284
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$390.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$448.34
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$595.95
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$756.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$349.3
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$427.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+744.3%+$1,336.99
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+489.1%+$980.58
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$438.57
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.87
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$268.18
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,941.18
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$371.58
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$4,439.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,261.72
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$2,271.4
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$736.32
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$313.76
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,611.83
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$205.1
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$567.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+171.9%+$309.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+216.8%+$322.1
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$311.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$164.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$181.98
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$497.59
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$284
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$250.49
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$512
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$98.37
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+426.3%+$115.89
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$191.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$511.12
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$248.5
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$425
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+284.8%+$1,580.91
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+669.2%+$1,338.46
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$320.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.69
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$376
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+135.7%+$844.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$154.29
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+155.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$298
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,001.48
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+303%+$757.57
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500.22
Karlsruher SC vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+347%+$1,040.94
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$468.87
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+809.1%+$1,456.36
Will Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+426.3%+$341.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$882.47
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$373
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$239.53
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$177
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$117.9
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+93.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+307.2%+$1,275.92
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$778.26
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,974
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$543
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250.49
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$572
All 6 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.2%+$627.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $140 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.