Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0de7e09aade8df7547158e6d81a3b0d4afad5a4b21db5535db5f8cd26e94d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,147,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,541,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,147,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 67c | 763,004$511,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,903.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…8ff7backed No | 73c | 535,571$393,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393,185.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 33c | 505,555$168,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,333.15 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 27c | 258,324$68,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,784.48 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 109,793$53,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,532.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 61,535$21,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,967.41 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 37c | 58,096$21,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,534 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 51,602$18,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,337.77 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 49,472$18,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,096.62 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 43,578$15,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,688.04 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 41,081$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 36c | 39,166$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.73 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 64c | 39,063$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,062.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 54c | 35,239$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,239.19 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 34,400$12,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,187.4 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 64c | 33,681$21,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,125.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 38c | 32,028$12,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,036.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…6d18backed Yes | 65c | 30,769$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 35c | 28,000$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.84 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 22,179$14,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.86 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 36c | 21,610$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 36c | 18,802$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.68 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 36c | 18,709$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 64c | 17,791$11,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.76 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 36c | 17,270$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,217.12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 16,718$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 63c | 16,570$10,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…1dcebacked Yes | 62c | 16,150$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 61c | 16,058$9,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.38 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 35c | 15,285$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 13,823$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.28 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 33c | 13,751$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.17 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 11,546$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 11,000$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 36c | 10,931$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 36c | 10,205$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 55c | 10,006$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.68 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked No | 47c | 9,005$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 27c | 8,611$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,298.17 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 36c | 8,447$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 34c | 8,061$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.61 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 7,850$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.94 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 32c | 7,716$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 36c | 7,695$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 34c | 7,200$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 60c | 7,198$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.1 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 36c | 7,103$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 6,822$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.55 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 64c | 6,079$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.15 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 36c | 5,878$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 64c | 5,609$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.27 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 36c | 5,495$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 5,339$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.47 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 5,329$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.3 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 9c | 5,250$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…bc63backed Yes | 64c | 4,723$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Yes | 64c | 4,707$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 4,407$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.82 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 37c | 4,061$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.6 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 63c | 3,953$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 36c | 3,931$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 64c | 3,775$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 36c | 3,635$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 34c | 3,584$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.48 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 70c | 3,471$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 3,180$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.49 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 36c | 3,120$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 36c | 3,071$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.56 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 67c | 2,991$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.39 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 55c | 2,826$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.94 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,795$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked No | 36c | 2,767$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,714$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.14 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Yes | 39c | 2,713$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.