TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$739,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$778,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed No59c170,607$101,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,350.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c100,222$24,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,450.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes42c94,063$39,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,459.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes41c81,790$33,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,498.2927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b32…c8cabacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No58c26,571$15,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,159.614841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes0c17,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c12,803$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.441,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c12,057$9,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c10,686$6,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,461.321,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes15c10,621$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.163246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes41c10,150$4,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,161.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8004148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No67c9,400$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0742277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes15c6,123$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.4268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c4,567$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes14c4,508$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.641,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No63c4,200$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.959055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No65c3,649$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.3546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes15c3,300$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes27c3,133$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.0226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cec…21c2backed Yes15c2,884$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes15c2,764$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.66023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f15…3e1dbacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c2,379$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.911,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d7f…4ac4backed Yes14c2,200$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No73c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes15c1,931$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No69c1,763$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.457759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c1,699$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed No60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes7c1,343$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.331973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No77c1,282$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.767275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd6ae…2532backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes15c1,190$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No69c1,110$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.2661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked No60c1,072$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0c…7652backed Yes2c1,057$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…103ebacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38042043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9926651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8e…58d3backed Yes15c999.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.386240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Yes2c873$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c872.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.281,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes38c866.02$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.621145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes25c864.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.192821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed No59c844.46$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.232958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes15c817$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…8064backed Yes26c796.75$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No64c770.13$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2322458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes42c766.79$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes8c756.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.045729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes32c721.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6814128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…6cc3backed Yes42c709.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed No60c701.14$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.151947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes15c686.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a40…5f8bbacked Yes15c675$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4a…d7d8backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes23c649.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3445142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6612…3d87backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes16c616.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed No60c606$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes15c599.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes15c484.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.667844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9361…0321backed Yes42c481.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes18c476$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5616548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes34c450$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15223531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes23c450$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes23c450$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes30c441.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.588666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No59c431.66$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No75c425.31$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes14c408.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.254944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x139f…04d5backed Yes41c408.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.221631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes16c389.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked Yes15c387$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c344.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.911,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes8c341.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.995058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.