TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf26…39a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,653
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26,656Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$22,317.14
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32,529.85
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,012Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$10,564.53
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,851Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13,363.67
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$912.04
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$11,517.18
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$4,720.69
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$153.4
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,514Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$977.76
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,692Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$2,702.7
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$2,048
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,961.5
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,973Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$10,459.68
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+141.1%+$4,301.5
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,230.36
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380.6
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,627Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$3,190.78
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+809.1%+$92.03
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$3,036.96
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,732.74
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,529Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,190.12
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$2,721.95
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,151.8
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,885
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,023
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,843.27
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$469.55
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$8,556.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$5,830.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,951.93
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$20.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$36
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11,912.2
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,321Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+45.5%+$2,419.89
Will Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$612.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$38.67
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,916.25
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$302.4
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$405
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,281.42
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Spread: FC København (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+65.8%+$133.72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$73.74
Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,264.69
Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,639.99
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,806.31
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$29,304.75
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$657.44
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$411.18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,743Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$13,184.64
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,443.41
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,075Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,684.25
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,652Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$10,048
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78.96
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+316.7%+$2,006.4
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$6,757.1
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$48.17
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,809.54
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,757.2
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,542.49
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,004.8
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,887.48
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$36.99
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Aston Villa FC vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.98
Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,652.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,016
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$17,135.94
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7,117.6
Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$3,447.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$8,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$8,217.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,709Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+270.4%+$15,434.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$8,344.8
Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$3,042.65
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41%+$3,805.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,947
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+204.3%+$293.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$884.68
Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,992.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$125
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$459.19
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$75.65
Will Girona win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$52.17
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.5%+$217.57
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Mallorca vs. Getafe: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$1,621.31
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$752.79
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$73.14
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$799.8
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$740.4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$3,888.6
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$5,792.1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.54
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$782.15
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.88
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.58
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+1,043%+$5,003.89
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.45
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70%+$353.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$586.22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.5%+$45.98
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+169.4%+$39,850.13
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7,612.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,074.25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17,531Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27,420.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,014.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,436.27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.6%+$107.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$8,210.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,359.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,695.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+55%+$313.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$4,993.72
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$6,836.98
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$309.51
Everton vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80.5
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59.47
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,547.2
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$4,059.97
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$303.6
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11,903.22
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4,404.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$8,650.24
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,015Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+90.6%+$8,168.93
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$122.04
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,753.01
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+257.1%+$79.2
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$13.82
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Will NEC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$131.51
Will Göztepe SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.05
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$851.65
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$331.92
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$93
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$290.41
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+34.4%+$100.66
Will Madagascar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+54.6%+$23.12
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.5%+$204
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$662.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18,468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30,131.99
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61%+$871.24
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$207.9
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$351.75
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,526.25
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,925Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$2,793.28
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,531.46
1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.47
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$3,812.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$20,228.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$320.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "GOAT" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$190.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,079.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.