Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe003c9f04f3b22c00c24b5ec4693238072374231f925692e3b31b0ba75d8f185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Club Brugge KV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Club Brugge KV | 59c | 6,004$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.54 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sporting CP | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 50c | 1,833$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.44 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Club Brugge KV | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sporting CP | 41c | 975.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.05 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Sporting CP | 30c | 830$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Club Brugge KV | 19c | 701.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sporting CP | 41c | 659.76$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Club Brugge KV | 58c | 221.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Club Brugge KV | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Club Brugge KV | 63c | 188.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Sporting CP | 42c | 165.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Sporting CP | 36c | 137.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Sporting CP | 41c | 124.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Sporting CP | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Club Brugge KV | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…75eebacked Sporting CP | 41c | 82.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Club Brugge KV | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Club Brugge KV | 58c | 69.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed Sporting CP | 41c | 59.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Brugge KV | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…9fd1backed Sporting CP | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Club Brugge KV | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…a953backed Club Brugge KV | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Sporting CP | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Club Brugge KV | 58c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Sporting CP | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Club Brugge KV | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sporting CP | 38c | 29.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Sporting CP | 41c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.