TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1365…97df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST16253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Suns (-13.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Spread: Pacers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.24
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC København (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$6.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.15
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Olympiakós SFP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.15
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.48
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.37
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$22.53
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$17
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+203%+$34.52
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.87
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.31
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.97
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.31
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+37%+$6.29
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.29
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$6.61
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.3%+$13.82
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$4.25
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.3%+$34.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.