Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5335cc62fbfd0e34b95d7013f83d3474c01f2535fc9fdeacb6926a26b01d1fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 29,614$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 46c | 21,478$9,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,504.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 17,117$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.7 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 6,800$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.87 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 40c | 5,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 4,135$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.76 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 37c | 2,216$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 2,108$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.05 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 59c | 2,020$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.9 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 38c | 1,332$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 62c | 1,306$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 61c | 1,034$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 18c | 1,008$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 31c | 990$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…442cbacked Yes | 61c | 846.23$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 3c | 780.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 63c | 592.53$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 39c | 573.24$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 37c | 533.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 480$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.76 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 410.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 63c | 399.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed No | 41c | 359.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 39c | 333.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed No | 63c | 333.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 291.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 39c | 277.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 8c | 274.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae7…91bcbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Yes | 38c | 268.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 252.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 37c | 251.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 38c | 162.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 38c | 154.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 38c | 146.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 38c | 142.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Yes | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…8480backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 22c | 120.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 117$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 63c | 99.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…c04dbacked No | 12c | 81.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c9…c109backed Yes | 38c | 69.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 37c | 60.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 56.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 45.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…ff2abacked Yes | 39c | 41.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 36c | 37.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 36.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…5393backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked No | 65c | 26.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 64c | 23.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 60c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6488…92dbbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…44cabacked Yes | 61c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…5ce1backed No | 69c | 16.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.