TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b90…30b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT11343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$681.48
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$446.8
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$380.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$98.82
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$158.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$126.26
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.71
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.26
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.56
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.39
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$129.61
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.18
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$400.16
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$555.93
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.32
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.09
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.96
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$132.21
Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+221.2%+$1,106.06
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$257.14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,820
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$628.52
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.7%+$99.35
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39%+$78.01
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53%+$53.01
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$233.9
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.7%+$49.7
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+124.9%+$168.57
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$207.3
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Will Athletic Club vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+354.5%+$156
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$108.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$142.28
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$250.71
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+355.2%+$106.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.88
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.2%+$755.96
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.5%+$92.48
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+111.1%+$155.5
Will Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$83.74
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.45
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.92
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.34
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+134%+$48.67
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$194.53
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$270.07
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$128.7
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$210.29
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$90.98
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+283.6%+$96.41
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92%+$367.82
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.6%+$204.33
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$100.24
Ningbo Rockets vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.57
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$187.83
Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Slovenia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+733.3%+$425.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Celtic FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$29.22
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+151.9%+$242.97
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Le Havre AC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$75.88
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.