TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked No68c12,686$8,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.522748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c10,680$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes33c2,606$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c2,513$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.0322348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c2,040$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c1,875$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,769$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c1,613$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.864971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes31c1,573$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.635424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c1,229$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c1,208$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No68c1,037$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.596132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No52c1,000$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1932843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c936.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes32c912.5$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c900.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes62c899$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c725.25$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes66c640$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.46744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c632.11$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c543.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes33c484.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ad…499dbacked Yes15c481.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c452.77$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.722,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes32c405.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8221445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c386.25$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Yes32c385.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.291883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No67c370$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No70c333.89$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.171782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes15c333.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No71c303.91$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.845632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No62c291.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c206.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c199.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2212929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No74c199$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.741250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c187.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed No69c183.71$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes33c169.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes31c146$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No79c125.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.436852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes60c121.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.021723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No62c121.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.486569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No76c120.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa081…b4fbbacked Yes32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c110.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes28c99.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes36c97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes28c95.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.684158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5e…b61abacked Yes31c93.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes15c93.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c80.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.87135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6233144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes31c60.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7815844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.588357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71a9…31b7backed Yes31c59.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes32c58.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.756155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x407d…1fe8backed Yes33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e6…fcd9backed No69c51.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes35c50.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes30c47.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.146131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes26c45.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4009…5f8cbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No68c44.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked No70c36.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes32c33.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.699944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes58c32.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No58c30.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d4…f7dcbacked No73c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.