TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x228c…0fb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.67
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$66.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$10.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$57.3
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$33.68
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$49.22
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.67
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.37
Will Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+165.4%+$66.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.75
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$8.82
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Heracles Almelo vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will SBV Excelsior vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.6%+$16.37
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will SC Braga vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$53.22
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.5%+$192.62
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+236.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+236.4%+$59.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.