Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5949012940609c3628a693dffee193eb889872acad0d78cc90a8c89e04a6264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 32,334$17,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,916.42 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 30,146$11,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,536.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 21,939$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,523.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…09bebacked Yes | 72c | 19,145$13,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,727.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 9,710$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.47 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 33c | 6,061$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.99 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 42c | 5,382$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 4,826$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.79 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 77c | 4,014$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 71c | 3,783$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 46c | 3,225$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 3,040$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.89 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 14c | 2,821$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 64c | 2,600$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 32c | 2,244$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.57 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 61c | 2,218$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 29c | 2,196$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.48 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,926$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 1,741$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,627$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed Yes | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…0e3cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,254$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 56c | 1,141$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.2 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,088$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.62 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 46c | 1,014$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.1 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…9b52backed Yes | 80c | 1,008$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 44c | 997$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes | 71c | 920$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 889.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 47c | 885.68$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 16c | 851.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 2c | 826.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 68c | 808.75$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 58c | 805.29$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.69 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 35c | 686.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.87 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 62c | 670.7$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 36c | 648.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 78c | 645.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 32c | 604.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…777fbacked Yes | 67c | 575.26$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 9c | 495.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…c64fbacked Yes | 15c | 457.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Yes | 16c | 452.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 66c | 450$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 66c | 433.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 412.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 43c | 410.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…619cbacked Yes | 66c | 409.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 406.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 402.95$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 61c | 399.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 388.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed No | 26c | 380.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 11c | 370.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 50c | 366.06$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 15c | 363.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Yes | 15c | 329.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 70c | 324.29$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Yes | 31c | 323.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked No | 31c | 313.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…44b7backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…be00backed No | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…b0e7backed Yes | 70c | 292.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…fed3backed Yes | 61c | 280.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 36c | 277.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 50c | 268.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Yes | 73c | 257.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 33c | 250.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 234.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…2d85backed Yes | 72c | 229.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 16c | 227.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 68c | 227.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 13c | 226.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Yes | 65c | 221.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 45c | 209.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes | 30c | 208.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 66c | 203.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…31adbacked Yes | 73c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Yes | 17c | 198.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 198.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…3269backed Yes | 66c | 197.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 194.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 78c | 193.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.