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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes22c12,331$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,641.855655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Yes55c11,090$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.47875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c10,512$6,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,797.2335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c9,442$7,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,221.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes23c6,249$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.444173.2%30 W · 11 L+11.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes19c3,247$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.24235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c2,816$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No78c2,260$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.9510558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5605158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c1,937$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.8146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c1,437$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.341,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,342$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.6937144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No48c1,218$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No49c1,053$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes34c1,035$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.291850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes67c948.57$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6911545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes23c929.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.095635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c804.58$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes16c798.66$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.813059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No76c671.26$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106355.6%35 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c563.91$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.271,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c540.85$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c454.27$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.645947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.782626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c410$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.93,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No41c394.22$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6342043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes54c345.53$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.945950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c322.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes77c313.62$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.334967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes74c292.32$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.714259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes20c275$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes29c268$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.522656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Yes21c238.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No51c237$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.469145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c235.51$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes69c218.84$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.84366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes26c212.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.781844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick23cpaid+62.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes24c208.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9210013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes61c204.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No61c184.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.622,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No77c181.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.57458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed No51c178$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.642729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No21c174.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7516116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4127327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c158.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9717851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No79c156$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2410153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes23c145.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+116.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5e…e00abacked No32c140.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f5…8ad6backed No80c139$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No36c132.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.252416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Yes19c131.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.571376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+78.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes22c131.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes70c128.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.483545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…b152backed Yes76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Yes68c100.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6615662.8%98 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7810138.6%39 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes30c94.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6123355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed No77c91.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.464344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No51c81.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8723751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes68c77.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.311,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4314422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4432356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c69.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…4468backed Yes22c68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+121.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c65.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.916341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda36…0911backed No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507273.6%53 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked No45c63.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.413250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes75c61.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.399749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No45c57.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8827745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83e3…8973backed Yes56c56.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes57c55.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed No77c54.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.094358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…9e76backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick36cpaid+117.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes56c49.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.996743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked No80c49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes22c48.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8517158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No50c47.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c45.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.833,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes28c41.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.857443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No42c39.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No41c38.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No77c36.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.991,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.111,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No74c36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes35c35.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed No78c34.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.165761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed No80c34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.