TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f5…8ad6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$148.93
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$19.15
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.84
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.92
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.41
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.2
Will Senegal vs. Peru end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.25
Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$94.5
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$48.75
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.38
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10100%10 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.38
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MŠK Žilina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.57
Will PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$6.64
Will Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.32
Will FK Jablonec vs. NK Varaždin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.57
Will FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.57
Will KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.75
Will Shelbourne FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.91
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.81
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.82
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.77
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.63
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DET vs. CIN: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$48.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.89
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$268.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$99.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Academy vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked FURIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$48.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.