TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,936,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,783,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,936,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 11,029 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes8c3,506,890$295,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295,635.663759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes6c2,202,158$137,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,272.2933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes6c1,697,935$105,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,708.555451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes2c1,293,073$19,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,663.28128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c6…89b7backed Yes7c1,105,000$81,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,830825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes7c950,000$68,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,924.5515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes9c874,488$79,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,661.243151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fae…78f1backed Yes6c780,894$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes7c764,238$54,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,830.697114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c757,507$53,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,881.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes6c745,270$45,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,229.021010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes7c711,588$51,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,471.111414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x736c…bc72backed Yes7c705,948$47,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,298.5350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476e…396dbacked Yes6c704,527$41,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,682.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+99.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes6c650,860$35,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,846.4713122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes8c622,335$52,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,249.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c610,475$42,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,783.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes5c587,350$28,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,285.0514325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes9c583,984$49,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,646.746546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…8d70backed Yes6c547,382$33,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,313.043135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Yes9c492,329$42,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,404.381225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…f69cbacked Yes7c466,407$31,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,220.05147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes8c465,964$35,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,260.4913544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes7c448,341$29,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,835.527762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Yes7c448,000$30,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0162425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes1c444,617$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.024420.5%9 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c442,285$29,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,427.3979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ec…8240backed Yes7c412,284$29,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,152.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+174.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes7c399,972$26,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,347.983138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0042…321ebacked Yes6c399,081$25,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,056.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed Yes7c397,476$29,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,618.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes8c390,864$31,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,400.3626330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…9481backed Yes8c357,050$27,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,763.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked Yes9c347,361$31,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,593.381631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Yes6c334,088$21,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,379.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620f…2389backed Yes5c323,706$16,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,634.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes9c323,233$27,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,746.8919252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Yes6c298,818$17,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,093.66253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes5c290,344$15,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,957.573321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+380.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…ba79backed Yes9c286,107$25,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,522.93147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes8c276,099$23,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,212.8616331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes8c274,998$23,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,084.871529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffe…cad8backed Yes7c270,408$18,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,628.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes8c261,700$21,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,417.86743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc395…c64bbacked Yes7c253,451$18,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,405.872222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes0c250,515$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.9123644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes8c250,108$21,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,112.5218545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes6c241,396$15,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,486.4516927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes7c233,894$15,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,976.18452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e42…49edbacked Yes5c232,000$11,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,645.53212.5%4 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-81.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes9c221,212$18,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,803119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes5c200,000$10,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,719.6617840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes8c200,000$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,9004436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes6c195,581$10,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,974.336113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes6c195,353$11,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,911.93478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aba…6afdbacked Yes6c189,460$10,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,821.63520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…2232backed Yes7c187,382$12,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,326.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3266…3256backed Yes9c184,360$16,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,148.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c24…cd38backed Yes7c183,733$12,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,310.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes8c181,219$14,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,284.924233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes7c180,400$12,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,823.42429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba8…b4f8backed Yes6c175,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes9c174,362$14,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,847.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes9c170,000$15,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0501520%3 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes6c169,757$10,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,908.3510959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed Yes9c168,604$15,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,123.951118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9391…a7d7backed Yes5c168,029$9,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,026.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes6c166,603$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a7…3362backed Yes7c166,046$12,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,420.366038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0867…466cbacked Yes6c165,000$10,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0651346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes9c163,656$13,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,910.786633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…4335backed Yes9c160,915$14,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,050616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes9c160,698$13,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,759.2921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes9c159,646$13,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,809.1959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…aef7backed Yes7c158,000$10,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3901540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x362e…8983backed Yes9c156,876$13,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,349.34234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-71.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes6c155,555$8,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,788.863933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes7c152,736$10,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,427.455623.2%13 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes6c152,320$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.8314219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes7c147,960$10,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,505.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes9c147,500$13,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,137.494535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes7c147,238$9,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,673.281035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2796…b4f0backed Yes8c142,948$11,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,931.58166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-59.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes7c142,223$9,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,886.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7efe…2e32backed Yes6c141,301$8,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,367.351464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed Yes6c141,164$8,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,708.081520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes5c140,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4001010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa154…321cbacked Yes7c139,129$9,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,295.712222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes9c138,333$11,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,896.635240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes7c137,681$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Yes9c137,291$12,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,108.663145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes5c136,782$7,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,091.976426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be5…0db3backed Yes9c136,459$11,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,735.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes6c135,030$8,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,373.274425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes8c132,498$10,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,898.4674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…992cbacked Yes6c129,663$7,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,390.811241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes6c128,852$8,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,222.01520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720b…37f6backed Yes7c126,684$8,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,793.652937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes8c124,000$9,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7684434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829c…6cf6backed Yes6c122,877$7,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,342.052218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.