TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc29…7774

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,857.74
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+595.8%+$113,029.89
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,581.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,498.15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$28,158.26
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$1,540
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,530.38
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,781
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,268
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,926.6
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,446.68
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,260.29
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,716
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,823.4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$7,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,787
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$5,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,876.91
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$1,674.35
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$976.3
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,170
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$965.23
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,004.37
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,300
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,030.9%+$3,805.88
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$340.06
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160
NFL Underdog Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$1,417.39
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.87
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$302.62
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+671.8%+$9,238.71
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$188.09
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,400
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.7%+$470.17
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,797.08
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51%+$15.3
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$8,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$8,432.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+252%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.09
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.08
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,051Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,504.9%+$101,464.37
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,802
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+430.2%+$3,083
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,552.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6,643.29
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,085Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$1,061.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$2,574.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,009.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$5,064.99
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+170.3%+$630
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,244.99
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14,393.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,068.64
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+52.3%+$515
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,813.82
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$460
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$814.06
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,884.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,411.73
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21,090Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7,410
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$647.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$840
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,317.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$4,960.71
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,990.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$787.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+285%+$285
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75%+$353.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$510.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.