NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41dee54378dbc6371cd731879e20dab13f48ce686fef20a14e2010004c69bde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Patriots | 47c | 55,982$26,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,750.15 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 39c | 47,191$18,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,532.05 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Patriots | 47c | 36,142$16,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,155.09 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dolphins | 55c | 35,689$19,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,711.19 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dolphins | 42c | 23,912$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.43 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Patriots | 51c | 23,615$12,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,541.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Dolphins | 54c | 20,955$11,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,315.73 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 46c | 19,713$9,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,562.35 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dolphins | 53c | 19,117$10,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,129.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dolphins | 52c | 18,241$9,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.57 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dolphins | 49c | 18,204$9,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,005.93 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Patriots | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dolphins | 41c | 15,046$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.37 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Patriots | 45c | 14,800$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,073.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Patriots | 46c | 13,604$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,382.3 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Dolphins | 55c | 11,441$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Patriots | 47c | 11,184$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,928.78 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Dolphins | 25c | 10,255$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Dolphins | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 49c | 9,614$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.44 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Patriots | 57c | 9,068$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.16 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots | 75c | 7,790$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.47 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 46c | 6,186$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.8 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Patriots | 74c | 5,417$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dolphins | 52c | 5,220$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Dolphins | 51c | 5,154$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Patriots | 47c | 5,034$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.26 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Patriots | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Dolphins | 56c | 4,467$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 44c | 3,860$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.5 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 45c | 3,434$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.12 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Patriots | 62c | 3,202$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dolphins | 51c | 3,192$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.8 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Dolphins | 52c | 3,182$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Patriots | 46c | 2,747$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Patriots | 53c | 2,728$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.61 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dolphins | 55c | 2,464$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.36 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dolphins | 44c | 2,417$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dolphins | 49c | 2,362$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.01 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dolphins | 55c | 2,238$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.05 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…ecf7backed Patriots | 46c | 2,157$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Patriots | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Patriots | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Dolphins | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dolphins | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dolphins | 47c | 1,742$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.01 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Dolphins | 54c | 1,697$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.57 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,646$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.37 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,643$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.22 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Dolphins | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Patriots | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,417$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.15 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Patriots | 46c | 1,347$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.94 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 46c | 1,334$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dolphins | 54c | 1,319$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.52 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,273$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.06 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Patriots | 49c | 1,259$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.09 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dolphins | 34c | 1,113$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Patriots | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Patriots | 62c | 1,049$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Dolphins | 46c | 1,047$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.46 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.93 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dolphins | 55c | 1,012$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Patriots | 49c | 939.18$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed Dolphins | 50c | 861.81$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Patriots | 45c | 842.22$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.22 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dolphins | 50c | 764.26$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Patriots | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Patriots | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Patriots | 46c | 658.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Patriots | 74c | 639.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Dolphins | 22c | 624.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Patriots | 46c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 2c | 583$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Patriots | 46c | 557.08$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Patriots | 46c | 543.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Patriots | 60c | 537.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Patriots | 45c | 524$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Dolphins | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dolphins | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Patriots | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Dolphins | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Dolphins | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Patriots | 60c | 459.27$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Dolphins | 44c | 442.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Dolphins | 36c | 432.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Patriots | 45c | 418.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Dolphins | 55c | 416.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Dolphins | 73c | 410.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Patriots | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Dolphins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Patriots | 44c | 381.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Patriots | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Dolphins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Dolphins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Dolphins | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Patriots | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Dolphinsthis page
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 41.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5Over won
- Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.