TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb14…bd17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
519
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT16350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.9
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.9
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.22
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$277.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.71
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.9
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.31
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.9
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.45
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.93
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.79
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$535.31
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$427.93
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.87
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.56
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.81
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.38
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$277.59
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.75
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.55
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.08
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST13145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$592.1
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+248.4%+$5,613.27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,190.67
Will Brian Flores be the next Pittsburgh Steelers Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$85.78
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$121.8
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$497
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$597
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$258
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$549.31
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+135.1%+$750.03
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$586.96
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$475.68
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$928.57
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$928.57
Spread: Broncos (-12.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$527.04
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016.57
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$559.5
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.04
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$137.02
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100.76
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.47
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.41
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.55
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.44
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$310
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+436.9%+$813.74
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$800
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196.72
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.99
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$158.4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$148.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$176.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$1,136.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$367.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$129.76
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.26
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.83
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.78
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$1,396.32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$119.68
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$470
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$125.54
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$895.71
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$116.74
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.6%+$19.41
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+107.1%+$566.81
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$493.49
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+71%+$272.48
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$885.93
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,010.24
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,540.63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$233.5
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.05
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.25
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.64
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.13
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$108.48
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.19
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.73
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$428.35
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+36%+$437.91
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$14.1
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$1,776.2
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$1,141.51
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.77
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.41
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.8
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$476.37
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+41.5%+$829.55
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$1,019.51
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$697
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$245
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$815
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$4,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
ATX Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Taylor Townsendbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.69
Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Merida Open Akron: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.16
Tenerife 2: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luka Mikrutbacked Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+52.6%+$16.58
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinkobacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.3%+$27.84
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$662.79
Total Sets: O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$87.52
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.5%+$355.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick27cpaid+256.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.91
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+344.5%+$144.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+2,602.7%+$481.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$15.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+125%+$24.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$14.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$55.34
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Boise State vs. Notre Damebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.99
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
California vs. Boston Collegebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Indiana vs. Iowabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Georgia Tech vs. Wake Forestbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$843.56
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,000
Virginia vs. North Carolina Statebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$1,189.69
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+297.7%+$3,888.91
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$680
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-80.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+333.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.97
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.17
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$610.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+838.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+838.5%+$417.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.8%+$627.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+181%+$1,356.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$39.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$219.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.