Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa034e7196de41c4360f069d1bed483ba86a8fba7337288c3b51de8f62a43bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frances Tiafoeof Frances Tiafoe, Mattia Bellucci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Mattia Bellucci | 5c | 36,773$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.05 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 60c | 17,813$10,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.34 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mattia Bellucci | 11c | 12,676$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.92 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mattia Bellucci | 18c | 11,773$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 16c | 9,969$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.57 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mattia Bellucci | 23c | 9,485$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.28 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 9,274$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.82 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 8,710$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.16 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mattia Bellucci | 41c | 7,814$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.33 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 7,481$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.13 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 6,939$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 6,033$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.99 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 4,384$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.82 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…53fdbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 3,174$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6351…51ffbacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 3,085$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 41c | 3,049$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 2,656$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.78 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…594dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 2,405$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Mattia Bellucci | 20c | 2,400$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.29 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Frances Tiafoe | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 2,334$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.38 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 2,306$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mattia Bellucci | 37c | 2,301$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.43 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 1,906$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.84 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 1,501$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.81 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Mattia Bellucci | 2c | 1,318$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…197abacked Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 1,219$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 1,215$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Mattia Bellucci | 35c | 1,200$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.12 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 1,051$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Frances Tiafoe | 59c | 1,042$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 1,040$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…c824backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 935$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 897$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 809.62$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Mattia Bellucci | 9c | 597.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 16c | 555.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 539.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Frances Tiafoe | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 445.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Mattia Bellucci | 17c | 434.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Mattia Bellucci | 18c | 429.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Frances Tiafoe | 65c | 420.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Mattia Bellucci | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 392.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Mattia Bellucci | 26c | 385.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 378.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 364.69$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 352.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mattia Bellucci | 23c | 349$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Mattia Bellucci | 22c | 341.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mattia Bellucci | 36c | 332.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mattia Bellucci | 22c | 327$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Mattia Bellucci | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 309.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 306.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 305.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Mattia Bellucci | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 292.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Frances Tiafoe | 72c | 285.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Mattia Bellucci | 39c | 281.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 259.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 251.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 239.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 233.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Frances Tiafoe | 63c | 226.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 217.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 208.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 23c | 207.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Frances Tiafoe | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 205.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 190.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 9c | 186.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 62c | 183.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 177$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 170.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…092fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 63c | 167.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mattia Bellucci | 15c | 161.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Mattia Bellucci | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 148.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…4cbebacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccithis page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.