TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96cb…75cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
389
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$93.15
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.69
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+251.9%+$125.95
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$276
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$236.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.83
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$408.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.29
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$71.45
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Showing 25 of 204 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT11426.3%30 W · 84 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.07
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$71.79
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117.44
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbertbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.66
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.75
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigatobacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$112.13
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.19
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.2
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.53
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.12
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$218.5
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jongbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.29
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.92
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$48.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.15
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$154.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$64.29
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$45.68
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.34
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.22
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$174.82
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.26
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60.62
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$190
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.89
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$66.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$119.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+244.8%+$213
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$102.86
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$190.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.81
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+77.6%+$153.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.