TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,340,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,339,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,340,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,900 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes69c1,025,001$707,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318,000.349142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Yes70c849,497$594,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254,848.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No31c720,187$223,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,087.8477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No31c519,152$161,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,675.9856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No30c499,972$149,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,991.592552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked No30c400,000$120,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,999.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed No31c331,299$102,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,702.72425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c278,114$193,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,544.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes74c259,159$191,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,549.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes69c222,200$153,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,881.935451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No31c221,879$68,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,782.373040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed No31c220,900$68,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,4794753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes69c214,877$148,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,760.7215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No30c203,377$61,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,290.1574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…f568backed No30c187,177$56,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,153.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes70c185,378$128,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,392.792,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No30c178,718$54,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,359.2816244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No31c171,105$53,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,042.6933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No31c159,997$48,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,799.0725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No30c149,997$44,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,999.0616331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes69c145,970$100,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,007.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No32c136,510$43,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,683.214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No31c126,403$39,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,185.036448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No31c100,705$31,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,218.5546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed No15c100,001$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes69c100,000$69,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,6507153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No30c97,605$29,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,194.729943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No31c97,000$30,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0709451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes69c90,498$62,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,922.983161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No31c85,975$26,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,461.339247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes69c80,000$55,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,8006045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No30c79,997$23,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.1415249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes71c73,434$52,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,162.8138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes69c72,464$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,463.7718740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes69c69,998$48,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,699.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes69c66,663$45,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,943.2817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No31c65,794$20,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,396.210740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No31c57,097$17,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,706.1418738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c53,572$16,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,249.7716835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No31c50,747$15,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,652.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No30c49,998$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.5314732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c49,905$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.6430117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c49,188$33,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,496.71,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No31c47,998$14,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,879.527949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No29c47,840$13,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,684.4729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No32c45,903$14,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,641.7711642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No30c41,109$12,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,462.0521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes70c41,000$28,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes69c37,993$26,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,777.8310959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No31c33,332$10,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,332.829627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes70c32,686$22,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,805.8536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed No14c32,128$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No31c31,848$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00035549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c31,494$22,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,377.9579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No30c31,099$9,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,351.799322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No31c30,999$9,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,609.8440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No31c30,841$9,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,560.617843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No31c30,299$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.657544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes69c30,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3004537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No31c28,208$8,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,696.5422846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes70c27,479$19,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,312.6418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No31c26,285$8,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.55244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No18c25,874$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.5622643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes70c23,153$16,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,945.917972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No31c21,600$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,695.92835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No31c20,310$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.233046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes68c20,200$13,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.967455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No29c20,000$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.0919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes69c19,566$13,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,104.227150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cd04backed Yes70c19,042$13,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+51.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No31c18,492$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.6548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes69c18,314$12,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,677.217753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes70c18,299$12,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.827838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No31c17,500$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.9150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No31c16,759$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe6…00f8backed Yes69c16,634$11,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No0c16,101$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.492516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes70c15,907$11,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.0215150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No31c15,860$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.5347643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed No32c15,717$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987c…cd13backed No31c15,260$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…77f1backed Yes68c15,145$10,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,846.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.9988852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes70c14,994$10,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.262740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No31c14,791$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.2347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c14,500$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64021333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes69c14,361$9,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.846749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No30c14,300$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2908631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6764…49c4backed Yes69c14,300$9,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.951233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…5a9bbacked Yes69c14,208$9,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes69c14,000$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3404367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes68c14,000$9,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…03cbbacked Yes70c13,919$9,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked No32c13,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1604148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No31c12,700$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.8529646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…8fa6backed No31c12,685$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No31c12,259$3,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,852.226929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes70c11,392$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.714663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.